The onus is firmly on Boavista to go out and get a result in this do-or-die clash, but their urgency to push for the win could leave them exposed at the back, which is something Arouca will be looking to exploit.
The hosts have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning the last three league encounters between the sides, including a convincing 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season, and we feel they will come out on top again here, ultimately condemning the visitors to relegation.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Boavista has a probability of 27.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Boavista win is 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).
0.2) 
-0.09) 
