While both sides come into this contest in poor form, Santa have been the stronger team throughout the season, with their current winless run seen as a temporary setback, and facing a struggling Moreirense could provide the perfect opportunity to return to winning ways.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.33) 
0.14) 
