SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
66.24% ( 0.02) | 18.99% ( 0) | 14.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.06) | 38.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.07) | 61.16% ( 0.07) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.09% ( -0.01) | 10.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.93% ( -0.03) | 35.07% ( 0.03) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.06) | 38.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( -0.06) | 75.66% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 4.33% Total : 66.24% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.76% |
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