Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 49%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.
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