SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
44.7% ( -2.33) | 26.26% ( 0.45) | 29.05% ( 1.89) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.73) | 53.15% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -0.62) | 74.72% ( 0.63) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( -1.39) | 23.68% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% ( -2.05) | 57.79% ( 2.06) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( 1.08) | 33.03% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( 1.18) | 69.62% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.05% |
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