SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.03%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 4.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 4-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
85.03% ( 0.48) | 10.08% ( -0.23) | 4.89% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.09) | 27.15% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.12) | 47.68% ( 0.11) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.58% ( 0.06) | 4.42% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.79% ( 0.19) | 18.21% ( -0.19) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.99) | 51.42% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.37% ( -0.67) | 85.63% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
| 3-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 3.72% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.26% Total : 85.02% | 1-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.08% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.89% |
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