SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
63.56% ( 0.11) | 20.46% ( -0.04) | 15.97% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.03) | 43.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( 0.03) | 65.58% ( -0.02) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( 0.05) | 12.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.64% ( 0.09) | 39.36% ( -0.08) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.07) | 40.03% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( -0.07) | 76.68% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 63.55% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.47% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.97% |
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