This is not the result that either side will be hoping for this weekend, but we see this game ending in a draw. As the table and their previous meetings this season suggest, there is little to separate these two teams, and this result would allow St Mirren to leapfrog Hearts in the standings, provided that they secure three points against Ross County. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
31.66% ( -0)	25.05% ( 0)	43.29% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04% (

-0)

46.97% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0)

69.21% (

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0)

28.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0)

63.71% (

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

54.85% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 31.66%

Hearts 43.29%

Draw 25.05%

Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 7.74% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.66%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.29%