SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eldense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Malaga |
38.81% ( 0.04) | 26.99% ( 0.5) | 34.2% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( -2.09) | 54.49% ( 2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( -1.77) | 75.85% ( 1.77) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.96) | 27.36% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -1.26) | 62.82% ( 1.27) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -1.37) | 30.13% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -1.67) | 66.28% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.2% |
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