Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
0.1) 
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