SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Granada |
44.89% ( 0.29) | 25.21% ( -0.07) | 29.9% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% ( 0.23) | 48.43% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( 0.21) | 70.56% ( -0.2) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.23) | 21.58% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( 0.35) | 54.67% ( -0.34) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -0.03) | 29.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% ( -0.04) | 66.09% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.9% |
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