SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
38.1% ( -0.16) | 25.63% ( -0.05) | 36.27% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.21) | 48.54% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.2) | 70.66% ( -0.19) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( 0.02) | 59.63% ( -0.01) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( 0.22) | 26.01% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( 0.3) | 61.03% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 36.27% |
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