Given Como's current form, plus Cagliari's continuing struggles on the mainland, the hosts should rack up six league wins on the spin.
Aided by wealthy owners, Cesc Fabregas has assembled a competitive squad at the Sinigaglia, where his team have been at their very best.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
-0.53) 
0.2) 
