No team have scored fewer first-half goals than Genoa throughout Europe's top five leagues this term (eight), and they tend to start slowly.
Meanwhile, only Inter Milan have netted more often than away-day specialists Atalanta (36) before the break, so La Dea could be out of sight by half time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
-0.62) 
1.14) 
