Though there is no doubt that Como are becoming more competitive, they have won just one of 10 away games since returning to Serie A, so taking points home from the Olimpico will surely prove beyond them.
Lazio's once-stellar form has dipped in recent weeks, but even with a depleted squad they have enough weapons to break down their visitors' defence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Como had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
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