SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Parma |
41.2% ( -0.76) | 26.35% ( 0.05) | 32.45% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( 0.01) | 52.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( 0.01) | 73.96% ( -0.01) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.39) | 25.04% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( -0.54) | 59.71% ( 0.54) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.49) | 30.17% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.58) | 66.32% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.45% |
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