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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
V

Lecce
1 - 1
Venezia

Baschirotto (65')
Baschirotto (46'), Guilbert (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gallo (50' og.)
Carboni (39'), Marcandalli (55'), Perez (64'), Cande (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Roma
Saturday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-0 Venezia

Lecce are winless in seven Serie A games, having lost five in a row and failing to score in five of those fixtures, while Venezia have not won since December, holding a 13-match streak without success. Having been unable to find the net in six of their past seven league matches, another goalless encounter would not be surprising for the Venice outfit in Apulia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LecceDrawVenezia
40.43% (0.119 0.12) 26.78% (0.023 0.02) 32.79% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.123 -0.12)53.89% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.104 -0.1)75.35% (0.105 0.11)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.27% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.157 -0.16)30.76% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (-0.186 -0.19)67.02% (0.18700000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 40.43%
    Venezia 32.79%
    Draw 26.77%
LecceDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Roma
Saturday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Udinese
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, March 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Venezia
Saturday, March 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, February 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Venezia
Monday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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