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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
BL

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Bologna

Fernando Mosquera Bonilla (80')
Valentini (10'), Suslov (57')
Valentini (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Odgaard (40'), Cambiaghi (78')
Moro (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 0-1 Bologna

Only Roma have scored more Serie A goals than Bologna in 2025, while Verona have recorded the fewest - just three in nine games since the turn of the year. With momentum on their side, the away side can end their winless streak at Stadio Bentegodi and stay ahead of several challengers in the race for European places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
19.6% (-0.204 -0.2) 24.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 55.74% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.26% (-0.349 -0.35)54.74% (0.349 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.291 -0.29)76.05% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.47% (-0.429 -0.43)42.53% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.11% (-0.368 -0.37)78.89% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)19.57% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.11 -0.11)51.49% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 19.6%
    Bologna 55.73%
    Draw 24.65%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.6%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 13.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 11.07% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 55.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Atalanta
Saturday, February 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, February 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-2 Torino
Friday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Bologna
Sunday, February 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna
Tuesday, February 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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