SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Primorje win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Primorje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Primorje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Primorje | Draw | NS Mura |
41.07% ( 1.42) | 26.19% ( -0.02) | 32.74% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.48% ( -0.22) | 51.51% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( -0.19) | 73.32% ( 0.19) |
| Primorje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( 0.65) | 24.76% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( 0.89) | 59.33% ( -0.9) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( -1) | 29.6% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -1.24) | 65.64% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Primorje | Draw | NS Mura |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.74% |
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