Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 5, 2025 at 1pm UK
Bodrum Ilce Stadi
We said: Bodrumspor 1-1 Kayserispor
Bodrumspor have proven to be a stronger force on home turf than on their travels, while Kayserispor have displayed a knack for producing better performances away from home than in front of their own fans.
Taking these dynamics into account, we anticipate a closely contested encounter where both sides could neutralise each other's strengths, and as such, a stalemate seems the most likely outcome, with neither team expected to gain the upper hand in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodrumspor win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodrumspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Bodrumspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
43.71% ( -0.59) | 27.76% ( 0.05) | 28.52% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.17) |
| 41.04% ( 0.06) | 58.96% ( -0.06) |
| 20.56% ( 0.05) | 79.44% ( -0.05) |
| 73.21% ( -0.28) | 26.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.37) | 62.07% ( 0.37) |
| 63.47% ( 0.48) | 36.53% ( -0.47) |
