SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 91.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Tirsense had a probability of 2.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.42%) and 2-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.88%), while for a Tirsense win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Tirsense |
91.65% ( 0.08) | 6.09% ( 0) | 2.26% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 39.71% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0.84) | 20.99% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.51% ( -1.19) | 39.49% ( 1.19) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.48% ( -0.09) | 2.52% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.2% ( -0.36) | 11.81% ( 0.37) |
| Tirsense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.74% ( -1.46) | 59.27% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.73% ( -0.78) | 90.27% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Tirsense |
| 3-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.43)5-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 5.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.16)7-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.12)7-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)8-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.98% Total : 91.64% | 1-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.34% Total : 6.09% | Other @ 2.26% Total : 2.26% |
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