SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Paraguay |
56.62% ( 0.41) | 26.06% ( -0.28) | 17.32% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.22% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.93% ( 0.68) | 62.07% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.21% ( 0.5) | 81.79% ( -0.5) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 0.46) | 22.17% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 0.69) | 55.56% ( -0.69) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.39% ( 0.23) | 49.61% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.61% ( 0.16) | 84.38% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezuela | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 16.56% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.32% |
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