SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
75.47% ( 0.52) | 14.23% ( -0.13) | 10.3% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.57) | 26.76% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.73) | 47.19% ( 0.73) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.07% ( -0.03) | 5.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.33% ( -0.09) | 22.67% ( 0.1) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -1.11) | 37.45% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( -1.1) | 74.23% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.28% Total : 75.47% | 1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.26% Total : 14.23% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.64% Total : 10.3% |
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