With both teams in strong form and defensively solid, a tight, low-scoring contest seems likely, and with five of their last seven meetings ending in stalemates, another draw appears the most probable outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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