SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
64.13% ( -0.15) | 18.53% ( 0.08) | 17.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.53% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.3) | 31.26% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.36) | 52.69% ( 0.35) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( -0.12) | 9.29% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.62% ( -0.28) | 31.37% ( 0.27) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.13) | 31.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% ( -0.15) | 67.37% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.04% Total : 64.13% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 17.34% |
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