Mainz could come under pressure from Werder Bremen given the hosts have been strong at home this season. However, Mainz boast an excellent defensive record, and they may hold out against Werder Bremen for large periods of the game, especially considering the Green-Whites have not always been productive in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
48.78% ( 0)	23.72% ( 0)	27.5% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.28% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75%

43.25% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35%

65.65% (

0.01)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

17.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

48.64% (

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

29.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

64.94% (

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 48.78%

Mainz 05 27.5%

Draw 23.72%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.78%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 6.83% 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.41% Total : 27.5%