SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
39.85% ( 0.85) | 25.38% ( -0.09) | 34.76% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.29) | 47.62% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( 0.26) | 69.82% ( -0.27) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.57) | 23.65% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 0.81) | 57.75% ( -0.82) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.31) | 26.45% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( -0.42) | 61.62% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.76% |
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