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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2025 at 12pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
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Bristol City
0 - 1
Swansea

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-0 Swansea City

It has been a rough start to 2025 for Swansea, who have lost all but one of their seven matches across all competitions. While the Swans will be looking to stop the rot, they are in for a tough 90 minutes at Ashton Gate, where Bristol City have picked up 16 points from a possible 18 in the league. That said, we predict that the Robins will maintain their impressive run of results in front of their home supporters and come away with the desired results this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
52.12% (0.263 0.26) 25.72% (0.222 0.22) 22.16% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-1.183 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-1.261 -1.26)55.94% (1.26 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-1.036 -1.04)77.04% (1.034 1.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.405 -0.41)21.52% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.623 -0.62)54.57% (0.622 0.62)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-1.191 -1.19)40.53% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-1.094 -1.09)77.13% (1.094 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 52.11%
    Swansea City 22.16%
    Draw 25.72%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.415 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-0 Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Swansea
Sunday, January 12 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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