Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.