SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Porto |
35.05% ( -0.54) | 24.43% ( -0.02) | 40.51% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( 0.02) | 43.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0.02) | 65.61% ( -0.02) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.29) | 24.21% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -0.41) | 58.55% ( 0.41) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 0.27) | 21.4% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 0.42) | 54.39% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.05% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.51% |
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