Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.