SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.53%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
58.53% ( -1.51) | 19.83% ( 0.69) | 21.63% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 65.54% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.22% ( -2.29) | 30.78% ( 2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.87% ( -2.78) | 52.12% ( 2.78) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( -1.05) | 10.5% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.83% ( -2.43) | 34.16% ( 2.43) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.69) | 26.77% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( -0.91) | 62.05% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.17)4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.53% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.77% Total : 21.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
