Osasuna are the draw specialists in Spain's top flight, and we can see another stalemate here. Neither side are winning matches at the moment, but Osasuna have one of the worst away records in the division, so we are expecting Leganes to be good enough for at least a point despite their own struggles during the 2024-25 campaign.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.38) 
-0.4) 
