Atletico lost at Estadio Ramon last season, and Simeone's side will enter this match in disappointing form; Atletico are due a positive result, though, and we are backing the capital giants to navigate their way to all three points this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
0.09) 
-0.16) 
