SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Lorient |
52.17% ( 0.31) | 23.29% ( 0.34) | 24.54% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( -2.15) | 43.82% ( 2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -2.13) | 66.21% ( 2.13) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( -0.67) | 16.81% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.2% ( -1.21) | 46.79% ( 1.21) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% ( -1.68) | 31.63% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( -1.97) | 68.04% ( 1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.66)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.54% |
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