Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.32) 
