SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Katowice win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Katowice | Draw | Lech Poznan |
31.04% ( 0.06) | 24.34% ( 0.28) | 44.62% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( -1.28) | 44.01% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% ( -1.26) | 66.39% ( 1.26) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0.59) | 27% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( -0.78) | 62.35% ( 0.78) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -0.66) | 19.87% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( -1.09) | 51.98% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Katowice | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 44.62% |
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