SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Katowice |
47.59% ( -0.07) | 25.03% ( 0.33) | 27.38% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -1.57) | 49.09% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -1.44) | 71.17% ( 1.44) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.66) | 20.66% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -1.06) | 53.24% ( 1.06) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -1.02) | 32.17% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( -1.18) | 68.66% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Katowice |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.38% |
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