SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
62.9% ( 0) | 21.09% ( 0.01) | 16.01% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( -0.08) | 45.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( -0.08) | 68.14% ( 0.08) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( -0.03) | 13.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.58% ( -0.05) | 41.42% ( 0.05) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.07) | 41.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% ( -0.06) | 78.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.01% |
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