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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
KL

Motherwell
3 - 0
Kilmarnock

Armstrong (77', 86'), Slattery (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Watson (80')
Deas (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock

With both teams having secured their Scottish Premiership survival, leaving little left to play for, and considering that three of their last five encounters have ended in draws, we anticipate another stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
45.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25.66% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.17%
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)50.65% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61%22.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95%68.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 45.17%
    Kilmarnock 29.17%
    Draw 25.65%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-0 Hearts
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Motherwell
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 5-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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