Verona's first task will be surviving the first half: they have conceded the most Serie A goals both in the opening 15 minutes (10) and the first half-hour (25); shipping a league-high 61% of their goals before the break.
Though the Gialloblu have certainly tightened up in recent weeks, Roma can still get in front and cruise to a controlled home win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
-0.04) 
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