Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
