SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-4 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
63.5% ( 0.29) | 18.7% ( -0.12) | 17.8% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.87% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.75% ( 0.3) | 31.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.35) | 52.69% ( -0.35) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.56% ( 0.15) | 9.44% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.28% ( 0.36) | 31.72% ( -0.36) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 0.02) | 30.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( 0.02) | 66.8% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 17.8% |
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