SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | St Louis City |
65.06% ( 0.01) | 19.27% ( -0.01) | 15.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.05) | 38.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0.05) | 60.55% ( -0.05) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( 0.02) | 11.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.62% ( 0.04) | 35.38% ( -0.04) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( 0.02) | 37.4% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( 0.03) | 74.18% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 4.36% Total : 65.06% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.66% |
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