SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
38.86% ( -0.1) | 26.13% ( 0.03) | 35% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.1) | 50.86% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( -0.08) | 72.74% ( 0.09) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.1) | 25.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -0.13) | 60.53% ( 0.14) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( 0) | 27.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( 0) | 63.45% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35% |
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